To most outside
observers and many inside the country, Italian politics have always
seemed anarchic. I've often lamented the use of the terms
“conservative” and “liberal” because there's little
conservative about about present day conservatives, while “liberal”
has economic connotations usually at odds with social issue
applications of the term. “Progressive” is even more problematic
in that one woman's progress may be seen as regression by another.
I've tended to favor the old French idea of the left and the right,
with the right looking after the interests of the rich and powerful
while the left tends to the needs of the poor, the workers and the
powerless.
Alas, current
Italian politics has thrown all the categories into a hat, shaken
them and dumped out the random bits into scarcely recognizable units.
We've just had parliamentary elections and journalists continue to
write in abeyance to their historic allegiances. A recent electoral
law, crafted by the Partito Democratico, assigns extra seats in
Parliament to the coalition of parties garnering the most votes so
that the possibility that a ruling coalition can be formed is
enhanced. It also enhances the possibility that the powers-that-be
hold on to their power. In the recent election there were three main
groups in contention.
|
Silvio Berlusconi |
The Center-Right was
formed by Forza Italia, the party created by Silvio Berlusconi prior
to his first term as premier, and with which he was attempting a
political comeback, and by La Lega (the League) which was formerly La
Lega Nord, when its objective was secession from the decadent,
parasitic south. Berlusconi is the prototype for Donald Trump, a
vulgar, corrupt, misogynist, hard-driving business man, who by hook
or crook, became Italy's richest man, and has parlayed his economic
success and domination of the media into political power. His
success in ignoring the concept of conflict of interest changed those
standards throughout the western world enough to allow Trump's
conduct, previously unimaginable in the United States, to go
unhindered. Ineligible to run as a candidate himself due to a
conviction for tax fraud, Berlusconi hoped to be the de facto head of
a new government. In the recent political campaign he seemed to take
scripts verbatim from Ronald Reagan's 1980 speeches promoting tax
cuts to raise tax revenues, described at the time by Big George Bush
as voodoo economics. In this case, Berlusconi was pushing his own
proposal for a flat tax, which would net him a personal gain not
unlike the gift Trump has given himself with his huge tax cuts for
the very rich. Despite being as fast and loose with the truth as
some of his US counterparts, Berlusconi has had some good ideas. As
premier, he made an agreement with Col. Gaddafi to halt the departure
of illegal migrants from Libyan shores. Now, with Gaddafi murdered
and the flow of migrants swamping Italy, he proposes to repatriate
the majority of them and to start what he refers to as a “Marshall
Plan” for Africa to improve conditions there. It's probably the
most reasonable proposal on the issue heard during the campaign but
Italians have probably seen enough of Berlusconi. His party came in
behind that of Salvini, a humiliation he did not really expect. La
Lega will have about 3% more seats in both the Senate and the Chamber
of Deputies than Forza Italia but the coalition will have about
31-32% of the total seats in the two houses of Parliament.
|
Matteo Salvini |
His main partner in
the center-right coalition is Matteo Salvini, the brusque
forty-four-year-old leader of the Lega, whose truculent manner and
anti-EU stance, along with his fierce objection to uncontrolled
immigration, has convinced the foreign press to label him a
neo-fascist threat. His early political career in 1998 was as a
leader of the “comunisti padani” and member of the governing town
council of Milan, most notably promoting the legalization of
marijuana. Salvini has reversed his stance on that while moving from
one end of the political spectrum to the other. The Northern
League's policy of advocating secession of the north switched to
advocacy of secession from the EU, necessitating a change of name, as
the League moved to garner support from all parts of the country,
especially the disaffected south. In light of such changes of course,
his reputation for intransigence may be overstated. He has little
depth but his plain-spoken advocacy seems to be in the service of the
people of his region, rather than at the bidding of the international
oligarchs who employ his American GOP counterparts. While Salvini
and Berlusconi have pledged to get along, Berlusconi is strongly
pro-Europe while Salvini has advocated leaving both the Euro and the
EU. Called neo-fascist by the nervous foreign press, and by much of
the Italian press, Salvini has proposed returning the illegal (i.e.
undocumented in today's terminology) immigrants to where they came
from, much like virtually the entire US Republican congressional
contingent, but unlike Senator Marco Rubio, who very recently
advocated publicly the military overthrow of the elected Venezuelan
Government, he has advocated no invasions of other countries. If the
NYT has labeled Senator Rubio a dangerous neo-fascist, I missed it.
The actual neo-fascists available to Italian voters were in two other
parties, Fratelli d'Italia, which is the latest name for the group of
far right people whose grandfathers were supporters of Mussolini but
who have evolved into something considerably less right-wing than any
Republican in public office in Ohio or Kansas. They ran within the
center-right coalition and took just over 4% of the vote. The
unapologetic fascists, running independently as Casapound Italia,
took a small percentage of the vote, not even close to the 4%
threshold required to be assigned any seats in Parliament.
|
Matteo Renzi |
The center-left
coalition was headed up by Matteo Renzi, who served as Prime Minister
until he called for a referendum to alter the Italian Constitution,
replacing it with a new one drawn up by JP Morgan with the help of
Tony Blair. Ostensibly, the new Constitution would have made
governing easier by placing control of the country in the hands of
fewer people. The Senate would be eliminated as an elective body and
as a voting entity. It would live on as a figurehead institution
housing elder statesmen with a nice salary and benefits. Former
heads of the Partito Democratico such as Massimo D'Alema and Pier
Luigi Bersani openly opposed this referendum, even publicly warning
that the proposed constitution was dangerous, yet Renzi prevailed in
the party, echoing the success of the right wing of the Democratic
Party in the US, on which he has modeled his career. The referendum
failed badly and while Renzi resigned as Prime Minister in favor of
his colleague Paolo Gentiloni, he retained control of the PD. While
Matteo Salvini could be faulted for his many radical shifts of
program, the same could not be said about Matteo Renzi. He has been
steadfast in advocating measures, including all manner of
privatization, that would take political decisions out of the hands
of the voting public, assigning ever greater power to bankers and
corporations. Prior to his attempt to replace the constitution, he
unapologetically supported the TTIP, a trade agreement designed to
end the legislative sovereignty of both the EU and its member
nations.
A good deal of false
information comes out during political campaigns. When it is not
challenged, the silence tends to serve as confirmation, but certainly
not a reliable one. Throughout the campaign, it was routinely stated
that 15 million Italians live in poverty. I never heard that denied
or refuted. This is a country of about sixty million people! Has
any other country in the world been damaged as much or more by
globalization? I don't know but in 1982, Italy's GNP surpassed that
of the UK and Italy became the second largest economy in Europe and
the fifth, or even fourth, largest in the world. It didn't last
long. Corruption, which exploded in the Mani Pulite scandals of1992, devastated the country, but globalization possibly did as much.
Italians had made just about everything, often the very best goods
in any number of sectors, from food to textiles, fashion, leather
goods, steel, glass, ceramics, optics, high performance automobiles.
Food remains an important part of the economy but much of the rest is
gone. Some Italian companies have survived by moving their
production to low wage countries. Italian workers have simply been
dumped. Italy is widely perceived as an idyllic countryside with
great food, splendid monuments and art. That's all true but many
cities off the tourist path have been reduced to a rather grim state
with high unemployment, especially among the young. University
enrollments expanded throughout the post-WWII era but in the past few
years university enrollments have declined dramatically and large
numbers of recent graduates have been leaving to find more
opportunities in other countries. None of this augurs well for the
future of the country.
Another unchallenged
statement, emanating from Silvio Berlusconi, during the campaign was
that the government had acquiesced to EU pressure to take in all the
refugees that washed up on the shores of Sicily. While Berlusconi
may be almost as fast and loose with the truth as Donald Trump, how
else does one explain the supernatural passivity of the Italian
Government in maintaining its borders? In the last few months before
the election, the minister of the Interior did take effective action,
but it was too little, too late. I often suggest that the bombing of
Libya by France, the UK and the US would be comparable to the bombing
of all US border crossing points by a foreign power. Many of us in
Italy wondered what was wrong with the Italian police and military?
They're not stopping this invasion. I stand by my comparison.
However, if this accord was reached by the Italian Government, a more
accurate paragon would be the US, under pressure from a foreign
power, let's say Canada, simply closing all crossing stations along
its southern borders and allowing traffic to flow unhindered and
uncontrolled. I realize that there are many people who would
consider that a noble goal. After all, look at the borders of
Holland and Belgium for example. I would urge such people to go into
an induced deep sleep and wake up in a new and better era.
Yet
another bit of information, this time from Bloomberg News,
slipped in under the radar. The announcement that the PD government
had introduced a policy allowing wealthy individuals willing to
establish residency in Italy to receive a flat income tax bill of
€100,000 per year. This is not without precedent. Small countries
around the world give outrageous tax breaks to lure rich residents.
US states bankrupt themselves through tax giveaways to big
corporations in exchange for their moving factories there. Still,
while Berlusconi's self-enriching flat tax is consistent with the
traditional values of the right, this proposal is not a flat tax rate
but a flat tax amount, i.e. a regressive variable tax rate, with the
rate growing ever lower as the wealth of the newly recruited
immigrant grows higher. Yes, an annual tax bill of €100,000 seems
almost like science fiction to most of us but for someone with a
million Euro income, that's only 10%. Even some NFL back-up
quarterbacks are making $5 M per year. Policies sometimes have
unintended consequences. If Donald Trump hears about this, he might
resign his office and move to Florence. Even the tax policies he's
enacted himself couldn't help him that much. This policy comes from
the Democratic Party (PD), not the one of Andrew Jackson, but the one
derived from the Partito Democratico dell Sinistra, the workers'
party, which in turn was the new name taken by the old Partito
Comunista Italiano after the fall of the Berlin Wall and the
dissolution of most of the major parties in the fallout from Mani
Pulite.
Following
his role models, Tony Blair and Obama/Clinton, in taking the major party
of the left to the hyper-capitalist right, Matteo Renzi led the
Partito Democratico to a catastrophic loss in the recent elections.
From number one, the party has slipped to number two, with about 19%
of the seats in Parliament, a percentage dwarfed by the combined
totals of the two principal parties of the center-right coalition.
That brings us to the third ingredient in the electoral pot.
|
Beppe Grillo |
Beppe
Grillo was a very successful Italian comedian who developed a large
popular following but whose irreverence for the ruling class came to
get him banished from Italian TV. He continued to perform for large
live audiences. His comedy, sharp and bitter but engaged, was
reminiscent of that of Lenny Bruce and Dick Gregory.. I tend to
think of him as the Italian George Carlin, but he's more than that.
He apparently tired of simply railing at the political establishment
and decided to do something, and like Berlusconi, he founded his own
party, the Five Star Movement, in 2009 He considered it a movement,
not a party. Also like Berlusconi, he was ineligible to run for
public office himself, having been convicted for his responsibility
in a traffic accident which resulted in the death of a person.
Berlusconi's crime was tax fraud, which happened after his entry into
politics, although he has been indicted on a number of other charges.
Grillo based his movement, and its name, on five principal themes:
public water, sustainable transport, sustainable politics, the right
to internet access, and environmentalism. He also insisted that
anyone running under the M5S banner pledge to give back half of his
or her salary to the government, based on his widely shared belief
that Italian parliamentarians are over paid and too many in number
(e.g. 968 vs 535 in the US Congress). Much like Bernie Sanders in the
US, his campaign has attracted many young and enthusiastic people,
fed up with the corrupt and inept political establishment. The M5S
got the most votes in the 2013 election for the Chamber of Deputies,
but not being in a coalition meant they were assigned only 109 of the
630 seats. This year they swept Italy south of Rome, where the
problems of poverty and the wave of migrants have hit the hardest.
The M5S is now the largest party in Italy with over 32% of the seats
in Parliament but still outnumbered by the center-right coalition
with 36% of the seats.
|
Luigi Di Maio |
The
Grillini, as they're often called, have been much criticized for
being inexperienced in politics. The criticism is valid but their
response is concentrated on their integrity. Many of their
candidates have been recruited from positions in various professions,
from medicine to scientific research, law, information technology and
economics. While they may be good in their fields, most of them
have little experience in political office. Luigi Di Maio, the new
head of the party, and candidate for premier, via an on-line primary,
is only thirty-one years old. While he studied engineering and law
at the university, he left before obtaining a degree to join the
newly formed M5S and at twenty-six became the youngest
parliamentarian to become the vice-president of the Chamber of
Deputies. His elevation in the party may be somewhat due to having
more political experience than most of the candidates in the party,
despite his youth, but he really hasn't worked at anything else. M5S
internet ads have shown the faces and resumès of some of their young
recruits alongside those of their direct electoral opponents, most of
them right out of central casting for classic villains. They have
also pointed out that among the hundreds of candidates put up by the
two large coalitions, each slate has about a score of convicted
felons in its ranks, while the M5S has none. Given the election
results, many Italians apparently preferred to take their chances
with inexperienced bright young people rather than with entrenched
veterans of the political swamp.
The
party proposes a minimum income for all citizens, a controversial
stand but one that addresses a problem rarely talked about anywhere
in the modern world. Research and technology are working madly to
eliminate jobs. Artificial intelligence is thought to be the wave of
the future, eliminating vast swaths of jobs, but little attention is
devoted to how people will survive if work is eliminated.
The M5S
has been described as anti-Europe or anti-EU but it might be more
accurate to describe the EU as being anti-Europe. It was the French,
English and Americans, not the EU, that attacked Libya, unleashing
the flood of refugees. The EU did nothing. Just imagine the
militias of Kansas and Utah joining up with the Argentine military to
bomb Juarez, while the US Government did nothing about it. Would it
be Mississippi, or California this time, to consider the idea of
secession? Once the damage had been done, Italy asked the EU for
help with the migrant problem but was told by Germany that the
Italian borders and the refugees entering were Italy's problem. When
the migrants started crossing from Italy into France, the French who,
under Sarkozy, had precipitated the crisis, closed their borders in
violation of the basic tenets of the European Union. When the EU was
formed, Italy was among the most enthusiastic of all the original
members. Most Italians still appreciate the convenience of the
single currency, whether they are tourists or businessmen, but many
are also realizing that the economic union is badly flawed and favors
some of the more prosperous members at the expense of the poorer ones
to the south. Another common view is that the EU is a
center of smug, out-of-touch highly paid bureaucrats responsible to
no one. I would add that they intervene in local rules and regulations without
hesitation but barely manage a whimper in response to the most
egregious examples of American imperialism. The NYT may see the
winners of the election as pro-Putin but the reality that US regime
media don't want to acknowledge is that sanctions imposed by the US
on Russia and Iran have damaged Italy and other EU members almost as
much as they have harmed the targeted countries.
What
lies ahead? Renzi has said he would resign but not until a new
government is formed and he's determined that the PD will not
cooperate with any party outside his coalition, more or less
guaranteeing that a new government cannot be formed. He sounds like
a petulant child, combining the worst traits of both Donald Trump and
Hillary Clinton. That leaves it up to President Sergio Mattarella to
figure out a solution. Good luck Mr. President! As I prepare to
distribute this post, I've heard that the PD has told Renzi to leave,
now. That may be the best news of the week.
Once,
all roads led to Rome. Now, nobody knows which way is right, which
way is left, which way is up? Do all paths lead downward? Stay
tuned.